25 April 2017: 8th International Workshop on Sea Ice Modelling, Data Assimilation and Verification
A joint workshop on sea ice modelling, data assimilation and verification will be held from 1–3 November 2017 at the Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NERSC) in Bergen, Norway.
The workshop jointly organized by the International Ice Charting Working Group (IICWG), the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Polar Prediction Project (PPP), WWRP Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR) and GODAE Oceanview (GOV) builds on a series of previously successful workshops by the IICWG Data Assimilation Working Group to advance international capabilities for automated sea ice analyses and prediction on timescales from hours to season. For more information see full announcement.
Leif Toudal Pedersen (eolab.dk, IICWG-DAWG, DTU, Laurent Bertino (NERSC), Gilles Garric (MERCATOR OCEAN, ICE-ARC), Frank Kauker (OASys, AWI, ICE-ARC) and Greg Smith (ECCC, PPP, GOV).
Webpage and registration:
24 March 2017: International sea ice experts meet in Bremerhaven next week
From 27th to 30th March 2017, the 4th Polar Prediction Workshop will be held at the German Maritime Museum (Deutsches Schiffahrtsmuseum, www.dsm.museum) in Bremerhaven, Germany. The Polar Climate Predictability Initiative (WCRP-PCPI), the Polar Prediction Project (WWRP-PPP), the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN), and the Sea Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP) are pleased to welcome about 80 international sea-ice experts who will discuss on environmental predictions in the polar regions on subseasonal to interannual timescales, thereby helping to build a "seamless“ polar prediction community.
As in previous years, sea-ice prediction will again play a central role, with one desired outcome being the compilation of recommendations for the 2017 Sea Ice Outlook season. With regards to the Year of Polar Prediction, which will be officially launched in May 2017, the workshop also aims to stimulate discussion about other relevant predictands of the polar weather and climate system.
The workshop will start in the morning of Monday, March 27th with the Alfred Wegener Lecture given by Cecilia Bitz (Atmospheric Science Department, University of Washington).
From Monday noon to Wednesday noon, oral and poster presentation sessions as well as discussion sessions will cover different aspects of polar prediction (see for more information)
The last day of the workshop (Wednesday noon to Thursday noon) is devoted to discussions about the sea ice simulations from the upcoming CMIP6 experiments (SIMIP), with a focus on new observational datasets for model evaluation and analysis plans.
The International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction, based at the Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, is hosting the meeting that builds on a series of international workshops held in Boulder, USA (2014), Reading, UK (2015), and Palisades, USA (2016).
Online streaming is available but limited to a certain number of participants. If you like to participate in the workshop remotely, please send an email to email@example.com to request the information needed to connect.
15 March 2017: YOPP Side Meeting at ASSW2017
A Year of Polar Prediction side meeting will take place during the Arctic Science Summit Week held in Prague, Czech Republic from March 31st to April 7th. The meeting is scheduled for Friday, March 31st at 6 pm. Anyone interested in polar prediction is welcome to learn and discuss about the current state of planning of various activities during the Year of Polar Prediction.
The Year of Polar Prediction is a major WMO World Weather Research Programme activity to enable a significant improvement in the environmental prediction capabilities for the polar regions, and beyond. It will be officially launched in May this year.
The core period of YOPP (mid-2017 to mid-2019) will entail intensive observation and modelling campaigns in both the Arctic and the Antarctic. This will allow for subsequent forecasting system experiments aimed at optimizing observing systems in the polar regions and providing insight into the impact of better polar observations on forecast skill also in lower latitudes. All observations carried out during the Year of Polar Prediction will be shared through the Global Telecommunication System (GTS) to make them accessible to all WMO member states. Several ways to get involved with the Year of Polar Prediction initiative will be raised during the ASSW side event.
The meeting is scheduled for Friday, March 31, from 6 to 8 pm. A draft agenda can be downloaded here.
For any question please contact firstname.lastname@example.org
14 March 2017: YOPP Open Session at NOAA/NCEP (USA)
A YOPP Open Session was held on February 27th, 2017 at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) in College Park, Maryland, USA. The Open Session was followed by the 8th PPP Steering Group meeting.
The YOPP Open Session on February 27th, 2017 provided an overview about the current level of YOPP planning and encouraged discussion in particular with the US community interested in national contributions and activities during the Year of Polar Prediction. Future observational and modelling efforts within the Year of Polar Prediction, in particular during the Arctic and Antarctic Special Observing Periods have been presented during the Open Session. Representatives from various NOAA institutions participating in US polar programs joined the discussions with PPP Steering Group members and invited experts. The program and presentations for the YOPP Open Session are available here.
The Open Session was followed by a two-day PPP Steering Group meeting where various YOPP task teams further co-ordinated planned activities during the Year of Polar Prediction that will be officially launched in May at the WMO headquarters. For the program and presentations of the PPP SG#8 meeting please see here.
For any question please contact email@example.com
25 January 2017: Exchanging Prediction Information in Polar Regions
How prediction information is exchanged between various stakeholders in polar regions is topic of research for the YOPP Task Team 'Societal and Economic Research and Applications' (PPP-SERA). The PPP subcommittee met last year to prepare their contributions to the Year of Polar Prediction. Their meeting report is now published in the January edition of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS).
During the meeting's discussions, it was realized that users of weather and sea ice forecasts often also act as providers, e.g., when an online weather service receives weather information and adjusts it to their particular website users. As a first step for PPP-SERA, the current state of knowledge on users and providers of polar forecasts and their requirements will be detailed in a scoping document which will provide directions for upcoming research projects. The workshop report has now been published in the January issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (download the paper).
Reference: Thoman Jr., R., J. Dawson, D. Liggett, M. Lamers, E. Stewart, G. Ljubicic, M.Knol, and W. Hoke, 2017: Understanding the Creation and Use of Polar Weather and Climate Information. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 98, 1, ES3-ES5, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0195.1.
23 January 2017: YOPP Open Session at Polar Prediction Steering Group Meeting
A YOPP Open Session will be held on Monday morning, February 27th 2017, at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) in College Park, Maryland, USA. The Open Session will be followed by the PPP Steering Group meeting.
The YOPP Open Session, which will be held in the morning of February 27th 2017 (YOPP Open Session agenda) provides an overview about the current level of YOPP planning and encourages discussion with the US community interested in YOPP. The agenda for the 8th meeting of the WMO WWRP PPP Steering Group, held from February 27th to March 1st is available here. For any question please contact firstname.lastname@example.org
12 January 2017: YOPP session at Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society's 51st Congress
Abstract submission is now open for a special session on the Year of Polar Prediction which will be held at the upcoming Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society's 51st Congress and annual meeting. The CMOS conference takes place from June 4-8, 2017, in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The congress theme is Future Earth: Weather, Oceans, Climate.
Abstracts can be submitted electronically to the conference website's system choosing the “Interdisciplinary” theme and “The Year of Polar Prediction” (#1707010) session. The submission deadline is February 15, 2017.
More information about the Congress can be found at http://congress.cmos.ca/.
Any questions on the conference and the YOPP session can be sent to Greg Smith, Meteorological Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, gregory.smith2[at]canada.ca or to email@example.com
05 January 2017: EGU2017 session on "Polar Climate Predictability and Prediction
A session entitled "Polar Climate Predictability and Prediction” will be held during the European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, which will convene 23-28 April 2017 in Vienna, Austria.
The EGU2017 session "Polar Climate Predictability and Prediction “ (CL3.03/AS1.22/CR1.6/OS1.15) provides the opportunity to present and discuss plans for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), with its Core Phase commencing mid-2017. In particular welcome are submissions advancing our current understanding of the mechanisms that control polar climate variability on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales and climate change in both hemispheres. The deadline to submit an abstract is 11 January 2017, 13:00 Central European Time. For more information about the session, please go to http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2017/session/22760. For any questions, contact the session convener Nevan Fuckar at firstname.lastname@example.org.
04 January 2017: Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 – Call for Abstracts now open
Registration and abstract submission are now open for the Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 (PPW 2017) and the 2nd Sea Ice Model Intercomparison Project Meeting (2nd SIMIP Meeting).
The workshops will be held at Deutsches Schiffahrtsmuseum in Bremerhaven, Germany from 27th to 30th March 2017. Both events are jointly organized by the Polar Climate Predictability Initiative (WCRP-PCPI), the Polar Prediction Project (WWRP-PPP), the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN), and the Sea Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP).
The Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 (March, 27th morning - March, 29th noon) will start with the public Alfred Wegener Lecture entitled „A Decade of Sea Ice Prediction“ given by Cecilia Bitz (Atmospheric Science Department, University of Washington).
The focus of the subsequent Polar Prediction Workshop is on environmental prediction in the polar regions on subseasonal to interannual timescales, thereby helping to build a "seamless“ polar prediction community. The SIMIP workshop following from March, 29th noon to March, 30th noon is devoted to discussions about the sea ice simulations from the upcoming CMIP6 experiments (SIMIP). For more information and the registration see here.
For any questions, please contact the PPP International Coordination Office at email@example.com.
20 December 2016: Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition (ACE) sets sail
Today, the Akademik Tryoshnikov will set sail to circumnavigate the Antarctic continent for three months. Aboard the research vessel are 55 international scientists from 18 different countries to carry out various science projects in the Southern Ocean.
The Antarctic Circumnavigation Expedition (ACE) is the first project of the recently launched Swiss Polar Institute (SPI). The Russian research vessel Akademik Tryoshnikov has been chartered for the interdisciplinary expedition where international scientists with various scientific backgrounds such as biology, climatology, or oceanography work in 22 different research projects. ACE leaves Cape Town, South Africa today in the late afternoon.
One of the researchers aboard the vessel is the atmospheric scientist Julia Schmale who is PI of the project ACE-SPACE. With her project over the Southern Ocean that is still considered as "the most pristine aerosol environment on Earth", Julia Schmale aims to find out how the atmosphere was like during pre-industrial times, before any human impact could change it. Her project ACE-SPACE has been endorsed by YOPP as it contributes to the Year of Polar Prediction objections to "enable a significant improvement in environmental prediction capabilities for the polar regions". During the three-months austral summer expedition, Julia Schmale will carry out on-board measurements in order to better understand "how emissions from the ocean to the atmosphere influence particles, how these particles form and grow in the air, and what they are chemically composed of" (see more about her project also the expedition's website). ACE-SPACE will thus improve the representation of aerosol-cloud interaction in models in order to better understand linkages between polar regions and lower latitudes.
19 December 2016: PolarPredictNews #02
The second issue of the PolarPredictNews, the PPP newsletter with updates on recent, ongoing and upcoming activities during the Year of Polar Prediction, is now available for download.
Read in the PolarPredictNews #02 about the YOPP Task Teams that have been recently formed in order to advance preparations for the Year of Polar Prediction. Find out how you can get involved with the Year of Polar Prediction and make sure to save the dates of the Special Observing Periods (SOPs) that have just been finalized. The SOPs will be carried out to enhance routine observations for several weeks during the Year of Polar Prediction in the attempt to close the gaps in polar observing systems.
Amongst others, learn more about a recently completed international airborne experimental campaign which involved four research aircraft and 584 additional radiosondes to examine the jet stream and its role over Europe and the North Atlantic, and meet with the leader of the YOPP Task Team on Airborne Platforms, Manfred Wendisch, who coordinates a German Transregional Collaborative Research Centre to quantify the contribution of different atmospheric processes causing Arctic Amplification.
As with this newsletter, we are aiming to build a common platform to exchange information, updates, and developments in polar prediction, we are looking forward to your active contributions sharing your topics relevant to the community. Please send any information including announcements you would like to distribute via our newsletter to firstname.lastname@example.org.
16 December 2016: MOSAiC Workshop at ASSW2017
MOSAiC, the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate, will hold a two-day workshop during the 2017 Arctic Science Summit Week (ASSW2017).
From April 4th to 5th, relevant topics of MOSAiC will be discussed at the Arctic Science Summit Week held from March 31st until April 7th 2017 in Prague, Czech Republic. The first year-round expedition into the central Arctic is anticipated to start in fall 2019. MOSAiC will significantly contribute to an enhanced understanding of the regional and global consequences of Arctic climate change and sea-ice loss as well as enhancements in weather and climate predictions. During the two-day workshop, presentations by MOSAiC teams will complement breakout sessions and a plenum discussion that provides participants with the opportunity to learn and discuss about this key international field campaign.
Contributions in the form of posters are welcome by anyone interested in presenting their plans for MOSAiC. For poster abstract submission, the submission form at the MOSAiC website can be used http://www.mosaic-expedition.org/abstract.html
The deadline for abstract submission is January 15th, 2017.
14 December 2016: YOPP in the Southern Hemisphere planning meeting 2017
From June 28-29, 2017, the second YOPP in the Southern Hemisphere planning meeting will be held at NCAR in Boulder, Colorado, United States.
In conjunction with two other Antarctic-related meetings to be held June 26-30, 2017, the 12th Workshop on Antarctic Meteorology and Climate and the Southern Ocean Regional Panel (SORP) meeting, the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere planning meeting will take place from June 28 (noon) to June 29 (noon). Modeling efforts such as the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System, observations both at Antarctic stations and during various field campaigns, as well as the collection of Southern Ocean data to feed into the YOPP data portal will be discussed. Effective participation of the oceanographic community in YOPP will be a key goal of the meeting.
Abstract submission will be open until May 12, 2017. More information can be found on the workshop website as well as on the website on YOPP-SH maintained by the Polar Meteorology Group at the Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center.
For any question, please contact the PPP International Coordination Office at email@example.com.
22 November 2016: Article on YOPP and PPP-SERA in Northern Notes autumn/winter issue 2017
In the current Northern Notes published by the International Arctic Social Science Association, the PPP subcommittee Societal and Economic Research Applications (find more on PPP-SERA here) and the ICO published a news article about the transdiciplinary research carried out by PPP-SERA during the Year of Polar Prediction.
The text entitled Understanding user needs to improve weather and environmental forecasts in the polar regions provides an overview on the research fostered by PPP-SERA during the duration of the Year of Polar Prediction from mid-2017 to mid-2019. Their research aims at better finding out how people can be supported in their daily living and working routine in the polar regions by improved weather and sea-ice forecasts. Northern Notes issue 46 can be downloaded here.
21 November 2016: YOPP Special Session at the 9th International Congress on Arctic Social Science (ICASS IX)
The Societal and Economic Research and Applications (SERA) sub-committee of the Polar Prediction Project (PPP) will hold a special session at the upcoming ICASS (International Congress on Arctic Social Science) conference. ICASS IX takes place from June 8 - 12, 2017 in Umeå, Sweden.
The session entitled Exploring the user-producer interface of weather and sea ice information in support of Arctic marine mobilities: defining social and interdisciplinary science contributions to the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) will explore the complexities of actors, information needs, information systems and infrastructures, funding structures, data management approaches, and applications of weather and sea ice prediction services in the polar regions. For more information see on the workshop website http://iassa.org/icass-ix and the session overview.
The deadline for abstract submissions is December 16. Please visit the conference website (http://iassa.org/icass-ix) to submit your abstract. Under the “Themes, Sessions, & Submission” tab, click on "Theme 17 - Research Methodologies”. Click the green “Submit” button, and then select session 17.15 to be included in the YOPP session.
For any questions, please contact Gita (firstname.lastname@example.org) or Machiel (email@example.com)
Dr. Gita Ljubicic (Carleton University), Dr. Machiel Lamers (Wageningen University), Dr. Jackie Dawson (University of Ottawa), Dr. Maaike Knol (University of Tromsø)
17 November 2016: Polar Prediction Workshop 2017 – 2nd Circular
The Polar Climate Predictability Initiative (WCRP-PCPI), the Polar Prediction Project (WWRP-PPP), the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN), and the Sea Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP) are pleased to welcome participants to the 4th Polar Prediction Workshop, being held at Deutsches Schiffahrtsmuseum (http://www.dsm.museum/) in Bremerhaven, Germany from 27th to 30th March 2017.
The International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction, based at the Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, is hosting the meeting that builds on a series of international workshops held in Boulder, USA (2014), Reading, UK (2015), and Palisades, USA (2016).
As in previous years, the focus will be on environmental prediction in the polar regions on subseasonal to
interannual timescales, thereby helping to build a „seamless“ polar prediction community. Sea ice prediction
will again play a central role, with one desired outcome being the compilation of recommendations for the 2017 Sea Ice Outlook season. With regards to the Year of Polar Prediction, which will be officially launched in May 2017, the workshop also aims to stimulate discussion about other relevant predictands of the polar weather and climate system.
For any questions, contact the International Coordination Office at firstname.lastname@example.org
Organisation Committee: Helge Goessling, Kirstin Werner, Cecilia Bitz, Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth,
Ed Hawkins, John Fyfe, Alexandra Jahn and Dirk Notz
16 November 2016: A data portal for the Year of Polar Prediction
A data portal will be developed in the context of the Year of Polar Prediction. In order to discuss what will be needed to make the YOPP data portal a valuable and long-term source for users of YOPP data sets, data experts from international operational centers and academic institutes convened in Oslo, Norway, from November 10 to 11, 2016.
The YOPP data portal will provide metadata and links to respective data sets generated during the Year of Polar Prediction. As a legacy for YOPP, this data portal will be developed taking into account the various requirements of end-users working with the YOPP data collection. A task team on the YOPP Data Component has been formed during the meeting which was hosted by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute. As the majority of data collected during observational campaigns as well as by modelling and verification efforts will be stored at national data centres and portals, the YOPP data portal will be particularly developed in close collaboration with those data centres which provide sufficient interoperability and work with the so-called FAIR Guideline Principles. Following these guidelines the data will be Findable, Accessable, Interoperable, and Re-usable. YOPP-endorsed projects and programmes will play a key role for the envisaged data management activities. More on the YOPP Data Component will be announced in due course here.
08 November 2016: INTERACT Transnational Access Call open
The EU H2020 funded INTERACT (International Network for Terrestrial Research and Monitoring in the Arctic) project has opened a call for research groups to apply for Transnational Access to 43 research stations across the Arctic and northern alpine and forest areas in Europe, Russia and North-America. The sites represent a variety of glacier, mountain, tundra, boreal forest, peatland and freshwater ecosystems, providing opportunities for researchers from natural sciences to human dimension. The Transnational Access includes both free access (either physical or remote) for user groups/users to research facilities and field sites, including support for travel and logistic costs, and free access to information and data in the public domain held at the infrastructures.
The call for applications is open from 4th November to 18th December 2016 for transnational access taking place between March 2017 and April 2018. You can find more information such as the TA call information, stations available in the call, descriptions of stations and their facilities, and registration to the INTERACCESS on-line application system from the INTERACT website www.eu-interact.org.
31 October 2016: 17th Annual Meeting of the International Ice Charting Working Group (IICWG)
The International Ice Charting Working Group (IICWG) convened its 17th annual meeting October 24-28 in Ottawa. Hosted by the Canadian Ice Service, the theme for the meeting was “From Models to Forecast Products for Sea Ice and Icebergs”, nicely fitting the aims of the Year of Polar Prediction. The meeting was attended by numerous users of sea ice information, in particular from the shipping industries, making sure that modellers as well as the operational services align their products with actual user needs. The IICWG is an important player for the Year of Polar Prediction, and the Year of Polar Prediction in turn is a unique opportunity for the IICWG to foster progress with respect to sea ice forecast services. Read the following news release here.
19 October 2016: Advancing prediction capacity in the polar regions – Overview paper on the Polar Prediction Project now published in BAMS
The need for a dedicated polar prediction effort is outlined in the paper "Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales" now published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS).
Anthropogenic climate change in polar regions comes with both new opportunities for the shipping industry but also higher risks for maritime accidents in ice-covered seas. Sufficient environmental prediction systems will be needed in order to ensure a peaceful and environmentally sensitive use of the future polar sea's potentials. In the paper now published in BAMS "possible ways forward in advancing prediction capacity in polar regions and beyond" are outlined. The authors identify certain research priorities that help fostering environmental polar prediction capabilities such as an improvement of the polar observing system; the use of coupled atmosphere-sea ice-ocean models; and insight into polar-lower latitude linkages and their role for forecasting. In order to rapidly progress, a coordinated international effort such as the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) from mid-2017 to mid-2019 will be needed. This period of intensive observing, modelling, prediction, verification, user-engagement and educational activities not only involves the international research and operational forecasting community but reaches out to various stakeholder groups to ensure polar forecast products adequately meet various users' needs.
Reference: Jung, T., N. Gordon, P. Bauer, D. Bromwich, M. Chevallier, J. Day, J. Dawson, F. Doblas-Reyes, C. Fairall, H. Goessling, M. Holland, J. Inoue, T. Iversen, S. Klebe, P. Lemke, M. Losch, A. Makshtas, B. Mills, P. Nurmi, D. Perovich, P. Reid, I. Renfrew, G. Smith, G. Svensson, M. Tolstykh, and Q. Yang, 2016: Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00246.1.
18 October 2016: PPP-SERA Meeting Report published in BAMS
The results discussed during the second meeting of the PPP-SERA sub-committee have been summarized for a workshop report in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society which is now published online.
From April 18 to 22, 2016 the PPP sub-committee Societal and Economic Research and Applications convened at the University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand in order to discuss their contributions to the Year of Polar Prediction that will be launched in May next year. Amongst others, the group discussed how prediction information between stakeholders of the Polar Prediction Project is exchanged. It was realized that users of weather and sea ice forecasts can also act as providers such as an online weather service that receives weather information and adjusts it to their particular users. The workshop report is provided here.
Reference: Thoman Jr., R., J. Dawson, D. Liggett, M. Lamers, E. Stewart, G. Ljubicic, M.Knol, and W. Hoke, 2016: Second Polar Prediction Project (PPP) Societal and Economic Research and Applications (SERA) Meeting focused on end user use of weather and climate information. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0195.1, in press.
17 October 2016: MEOPAR Expert Forum on Implementation of the Year of Polar Prediction
In preparation of the MEOPAR YOPP Call for Proposals, during the Expert Forum on Implementation of the Year of Polar Prediction Canadian contributions will be discussed.
The expert forum held on October 17 and 18 in Ottawa, Canada is hosted by the Canadian "Marine Environmental Observation Prediction and Response Network" (MEOPAR). MEOPAR is working together with the Polar Prediction Project (PPP), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Polar Knowledge Canada (POLAR) and the Arctic Research Foundation (ARF) to release a Call for Proposals in late 2016 or early 2017 to fund research related to YOPP. More information on the forum and call can be found here.
13 October 2016: Report on YOPP Planning Meetings online available
The meeting report of the YOPP Planning Meetings for Arctic Observations and the YOPP Modelling Component is now available for download.
The preparation for the Year of Polar Prediction moved into a new phase when 75 international experts from operational centers, research institutes, universities, and societal initiatives convened from September 5–9 at ECMWF in Reading, UK in order to discuss national and international efforts providing additional observations in the Arctic and performing numerical experimentation towards a concerted YOPP observation and modelling plan. Resultant from the meeting, task teams will build for various activities during the Year of Polar Prediction such as YOPP Core Modelling Activities, Airborne Platforms, or the YOPP Data Component. For more information see the meeting report here.
08 October 2016: The Abisko Polar Prediction School published online in BAMS
The report on the Abisko Polar Prediction School has just been accepted for publication in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS).
Held from 5th–15th April, 2016 at the Abisko Field Station in northern Sweden, the first Polar Prediction School brought together 29 early career researchers from 16 countries to "meet the growing societal need for young scientists" in the field of polar prediction. By a combination of lectures, field observations, and other learning activities, participants were trained in polar environmental prediction science to enhance understanding of what it needs to ensure safe living and working conditions in polar regions. The paper now published online in BAMS briefly summarizes activities and outcomes of the first of two Year of Polar Prediction summer schools. More on the Abisko school can also be found here.
Reference: Day, J. J., Svensson, G., Brooks, I. M., Bitz, C., Carver, G., Chevallier, M., Goessling, H. F., Hartung, K., Jung, T., Kay, J. E., Kolstad, E. W.., Perovich, D., Screen, J., Siemen, S., Váňa, F.: The Abisko Polar Prediction School, Bull. of the American Meteorological Society, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0119.1, 2016.
07 October 2016: ECMWF Interview with WMO's WWRP Chief Paolo Ruti
In an interview with ECMWF, Paolo Ruti, the Chief of the WMO World Weather Research Division, speaks about the preparation state of the Year of Polar Prediction.
"Designed to bring together people working on observations and on modelling and to make sure that their activities link up well", the Year of Polar Prediction will "help to develop a new observational network to enable better weather predictions in the polar regions". To communicate effectively about the society's relevance of the Year of Polar Prediction initiative may be one of the biggest challenges, he says. The entire interview with Paolo Ruti can be found at the ECMWF website.
06 October 2016: PolarPredictNews #01
The first issue of the PolarPredictNews, a newsletter with updates on recent, ongoing and upcoming activities during the Year of Polar Prediction, is now available for download.
Edited by the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction, the PolarPredictNews keep you updated with recent, ongoing and upcoming activities during the Year of Polar Prediction. With this newsletter, we are aiming to build a common platform to exchange information, updates, and developments in polar prediction. Therefore, we are looking forward to your active contributions sharing your topics relevant to the community. Please send any information including announcements you would like to distribute via our newsletter to email@example.com.
In this first issue, learn more about a flying laboratory and new colleagues joining the Polar Prediction Steering Group. Read about the preparation of the Year of Polar Prediction in Columbus, Ohio and Reading, UK, and meet with Dave Bromwich chatting about his YOPP-endorsed project in West Antarctica.
02 September 2016: Live Streaming of YOPP Planning Meetings next week in Reading, UK
From September 5-9, 2016, activities on Arctic Observations and the Modelling Component during the upcoming Year of Polar Prediction will be further planned at ECMWF in Reading, UK. A web stream will be available from Monday 12:00 pm (GMT+1) to follow the two meetings online.
In less than a year the Year of Polar Prediction Core Phase will be launched. In order to make further progress in the planning of the various activities during YOPP, the Planning Workshops on Arctic Observations and the YOPP Modelling Component will be held at ECMWF in Reading, UK, from September 5-7 and September 7-9, 2016, respectively. Invitees from operational centers, research institutes, universities, and initiatives from all over the world will plan on observational campaigns in the Arctic as well as various modelling activities such as forecasting experiments, dedicated reanalyses, or data denial experiments. During a Joint Session on Wednesday, September 7, from 9:00 am to 12:00 pm (GMT+1), modellers and observationals will be discussing on how to improve polar forecasting in a joint effort. Live streaming will be available throughout the week, from Monday 12:00 pm (GMT+1) to follow the meetings online. In order to join the meetings remotely, the agendas including the links to the web stream can be found here: Arctic Observations and the YOPP Modelling Component.
26 August 2016: New version of the Year of Polar Prediction Implementation Plan released
A revised version of the Implementation Plan for the Year of Polar Prediction has just been released through the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). It is available here.
The new Implementation Plan (version 2.0) includes a number of changes that reflect important recent developments, in particular outcomes and decisions made at the YOPP Summit held last year in Geneva. Among the most significant changes are (i) a revised description of how the social component of YOPP will be implemented, (ii) an updated description of the coordination between YOPP and the international Arctic research initiative MOSAiC, (iii) a new section describing the YOPP endorsement process, and (iv) additional information on special and intensive observing periods during the Year of Polar Prediction.
The Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) is a major international activity that has been initiated by the World Meteorological Organization’s World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) as a key component of the Polar Prediction Project (PPP). During the Year of Polar Prediction scientists from various Arctic and Antarctic research fields work together with operational forecasting centers and people who rely on weather and sea-ice predictions in their everyday life. The Year of Polar Prediction initiative starts in mid-2017 with the goal to substantially improve environmental forecasts in polar regions.
For further information please visit http://www.polarprediction.net/yopp/ or contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org
17 August 2016: Russian Aircraft Laboratory available for Arctic Environmental Studies
A Russian aircraft laboratory is available for scientific use to carry out meteorological investigations such as cloud physics, atmospheric dynamics, or radiation studies.
The Russian Central Aerological Observatory (CAO) announces the availability for international scientists to use their aircraft laboratory “Roshydromet” for various investigations of atmospheric environmental parameters during the Year of Polar Prediction. More information can be found in the pdf file.
16 August 2016: Welcome to four new PPP Steering Group Members
Four new members are joining the Steering Group of the Polar Prediction Project this summer. Welcome to Barbara Casati, Jackie Dawson, Daniela Liggett, and Steffen M. Olsen who were elected new members during the 7th Steering Group meeting held this May in Beijing, China.
Barbara Casati is a research scientist working for Environmental and Climate Change Canada. She will support the Steering Group with her expertise in forecast verification. In polar regions verification poses particular challenges that will be addressed within YOPP.
Steffen Olsen is a lead scientist in coupled model systems and oceanography at the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) in Copenhagen, Denmark. Regionally focussed on the North Atlantic and Arctic, his expertise includes modelling of thermohaline processes and climate predictability studies. Steffen coordinates the new Arctic H2020 program Blue-Action and is involved in several YOPP-relevant EU-FP7 projects.
Jackie Dawson and Daniela Liggett are strengthening the social component of PPP and YOPP. Both are part of the PPP subcommittee on Societal and Economic Research Applications (PPP-SERA). Jackie Dawson is a professor at the University of Ottawa, Canada, and the director of the Environment, Society and Policy Group studying the human and political dimensions of environmental change. Daniela Liggett is a lecturer at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand, focussing on environmental management and tourism regulation in polar environments.
All members of the current PPP Steering Group are listed here.
05 August 2016: Report on Planning Meeting for YOPP in the Southern Hemisphere available
The report on the Planning Meeting of the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere is now available online.
Activities for the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere are coordinated by the YOPP-SH sub-committee which is led by PPP Steering Group member David Bromwich, leader of the Polar Meteorology Group at the Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center (BPCRC) in Columbus, Ohio, United States. To push forward the Southern Hemisphere portion of the YOPP initiative, the first planning meeting for YOPP-SH activities took place on June, 6th, 2016 in Ohio.
About 50 international scientists and representatives of forecasting centres discussed the state of planned research activities during YOPP in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean. Resulting from the meeting‘s discussion, it was agreed that the Special Observing Period in the Southern Hemisphere will take place during Austral Spring 2018 to Austral Fall 2019. For more information on YOPP-SH activities, please also visit the site of the Polar Meteorology Group at The Ohio State University.
03 August 2016: Online Request for YOPP Endorsement Launched
The International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction (ICO) welcomes projects, programs and initiatives that plan to contribute to the aims of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) to request endorsement by YOPP. Requests can now be submitted online at http://apps3.awi.de/YPP/.
After submission, the ICO sends out your request to two members of the PPP Steering Group who review the applying project’s quality and relevance for YOPP and provide their recommendation to officially endorse the project. Since October 2015, more than thirty projects aiming at improving polar prediction skills by various scientific approaches have been already endorsed by YOPP. In order to simplify the submission process, the ICO has now moved the submission to an online tool: To submit your application, please register at http://apps3.awi.de/YPP/ and follow the instructions. Entering your information requested about the project includes a short (max. 250 words) and a detailed project description (max. 1000 words) with more details on how your project relates to YOPP. New to the online submission is also that, if applicable, information on data management, geographic specification, and societal relevance can now be added to the online form. The latter in particular addresses projects in the field of societal and economic research. For any question, please contact the ICO at office[at]polarprediction.net.
21 July 2016: Report from 7th PPP Steering Group Meeting now available
The report of the 8th meeting of the PPP Steering Group is now available for download here. The meeting was cordially hosted by the National Marine Environment Forecasting Center (NMEFC) based in Beijing, China. From May 23-25, 2016, members of the Steering Group and invited representatives of Chinese national polar and forecasting institutions discussed further procedures for preparing the Year of Polar Prediction that will be launched mid of next year.
20 July 2016: AAS Special Issue Impact of a Rapidly Changing Arctic on Eurasian Climate and Weather
The Call for Papers for the special issue Impact of a Rapidly Changing Arctic on Eurasian Climate and Weather in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (more information)
Description of the Special Issue:
The Arctic climate system has experienced many drastic changes during recent decades, such as its average surface air temperature increasing at around twice the global average rate, and a large decline in sea ice cover. At the same time, an increase in frequency of climate and weather extreme occurrences has also been observed. It has therefore been hypothesized that changes in mid-latitude atmospheric circulation and weather patterns may be attributable to Arctic climate change. Pronounced scientific controversy in testing this hypothesis, along with important socio-economic implications of a possible Arctic-Eurasia climate linkage, makes this one of the most timely and attractive scientific topics in climate research.
This special issue will showcase recent progresses in our understanding of the coupling between Arctic climate change and Eurasian mid-latitude climate and weather, including extremes. The compilation of the research papers in this special issue is expected to fill key scientific gaps and hence contribute to a more thorough understanding of the problem. Submissions in, but not limited to, the following research areas, are invited:
- Observational and statistical evidence of changes in Eurasian weather and climate, as well as occurrence of extremes, in conjunction with changes in Arctic climate;
- Detection and attribution of linkages between Arctic climate change and Eurasian midlatitude climate and weather based on observations and numerical model experiments;
- Evaluation of uncertainties and their potential impacts on Arctic-Eurasia linkages arising from the use of relatively short observational records and caused by model deficiencies.
Deadline for manuscript submission is October 30, 2016. Authors are requested to submit via the editorial system mc03.manuscriptcentral.com/aasiap selecting “Special issue: Arctic”.
20 July 2016: AGU 2016 Fall Meeting Session on Sustained observations of rapid Arctic change
The 2016 AGU Fall Meeting Session Sustained observations of rapid Arctic change covers various aspects of Arctic observing system science and technology relevant to activities within the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) and the Polar Prediction Project.
A rapidly changing Arctic challenges our ability to predict and effectively respond to major environmental and socio-economic transformations underway in the North and reverberating throughout the global system. Sustained observations of key variables and processes that capture variability, long-term trends and regime shifts, including high resolution paleoclimate records, are central to furthering understanding of the drivers and impacts of change, the development of prediction systems from sub-seasonal to decadal timescales and to the implementation of adaptation and mitigation measures. This session welcomes presentations that describe major findings and lessons learned from existing observing efforts at high and mid latitudes, as well as those that address the full range of scientific issues underlying development and implementation of Arctic observing systems, such as advances in the science and technology of sustained observations (incl. autonomous sensor systems), observing system design and implementation.
Organizers of this session (Hajo Eicken, Julie Brigham-Grette, Craig Lee and Peter Schlosser) welcome any contributions on the potential role of YOPP in the context of sustained observations, such as providing guidance on sensor placement, the role of sustained observations in the context of synoptic, seasonal and inter annual predictions etc.
More information can be found here.
04 July 2016: Arctic Predictability dataset APPOSITE now published
The APPOSITE Arctic Predictability dataset has now been published in the EGU journal Geoscientific Model Development. Several international groups used their global climate models to forecast the Arctic climate in a so-called „perfect-model“ world - an approach that reveals how long into the future Arctic climate can in principle be predicted. The simulation data, now available publicly here, revealed for example that Arctic sea-ice extent and ice-edge location could be predicted much better compared to current operational forecasting systems. The data set opens up opportunities also for the Year of Polar Prediction. For example, why not testing and developing statistical sea-ice forecasting methods in these virtual realities where the real-world data sparseness is unknown? Or studying where future observational data should be taken because they are crucial for better predictions?
Reference: Day, J. J., Tietsche, S., Collins, M., Goessling, H. F., Guemas, V., Guillory, A., Hurlin, W. J., Ishii, M., Keeley, S. P. E., Matei, D., Msadek, R., Sigmond, M., Tatebe, H., and Hawkins, E.: The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set version 1, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2255-2270, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2255-2016, 2016.
24 June 2016: Dynamics of Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean Interactions in the High Latitudes – Workshop Report now available online
The report on the workshop Dynamics of Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean Interactions in the High Latitudes has now been published online in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. From 23-27 March, 90 scientists from 13 different countries gathered in the scenic fjord village of Rosendal, Norway, in order to discuss our current understanding of the physical processes for weather and climate prediction, significantly relevant for PPP and YOPP. Participants agreed that for a comprehensive coupling of atmospheric processes with sea ice and ocean conditions in future forecast models corresponding time scales need to be considered carefully. Advances in forecasting skills also means to better understand the human impact to natural weather and climate systems. The report by Thomas Spenger et al. can be downloaded at http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00302.1.
Reference: Spengler, T., I. Renfrew, A. Terpstra, M. Tjernström, J. Screen, I. Brooks, A., Carleton, D. Chechin, L. Chen, J. Doyle, I. Esau, P. Hezel, T. Jung, T. Kohyama, C. Lüpkes, K. McCusker, T. Nygård, D. Sergeev, M. Shupe, H. Sodemann, and T. Vihma, 2016: High Latitude Dynamics of Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean Interactions. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00302.1, in press.
07 June 2016: SAVE THE DATE – Polar Prediction Workshop 2017
The 4th Polar Prediction Workshop is scheduled for 27-29 March 2017. Jointly organised by the Polar Climate Predictability Initiative (WCRP-PCPI), the Polar Prediction Project (WWRP-PPP), and the Sea Ice Prediction Network (ARCUS-SIPN), the workshop will be hosted by the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven, Germany.
The workshop will build on a series of international workshops held in Boulder, USA (2014), Reading, UK (2015), and Palisades, USA (2016). As in previous years, the focus will be on environmental prediction in the polar regions on a wide range of timescales, thereby helping to build a „seamless“ polar prediction community. Sea ice will again play a central role, with one desired outcome being the compilation of recommendations for the 2017 Sea Ice Outlook season. However, the workshop also aims to stimulate discussion on other interesting predictands of the polar weather and climate system.
Details will be announced in due course here.
Workshop Organisers: Cecilia Bitz, Helge Goessling, Kirstin Werner, Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Ed Hawkins, and John Fyfe
06 June 2016: International Arctic Climate & Environment Young Scientists School in Russian Arctic, Apatity, Kola Peninsula
The International school-conference for young scientists “Climate, geography and
environment of the Russian Arctic” will take place in Apatity town, Murmansk region, in Russia from 4-10 September 2016.
Registration is now open for Bachelor, Master or PhD students and any other young scientists. No registration fee is required. Travel and accommodation costs are covered by participants. For more information and registration please go on the conference website apatity2016.ru
02 June 2016: PPP-SERA meeting report now available online
From 18-22 April 2016, the Societal and Economic Research and Applications (SERA) sub-committee of PPP convened for the second time for their annual organizing meeting at Gateway Antarctica, Canterbury University in Christchurch, New Zealand. The meeting report which is now available online provides an overview of the working group's future plans to help collaborating with stakeholders of PPP and YOPP such as forecasting services and their individual users. Download the report here.
01 June 2016: New WMO Consultant appointed for the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction
Richard Swinbank has been appointed as the new WMO Consultant supporting the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction in PPP and YOPP activities. The atmospheric scientist has managed the ensemble forecasting research group of the Met Office in Exeter, United Kingdom. In particular, he has worked for the Met Office's contribution TIGGE as part of the international research programme THORPEX which aimed at improving the accuracy of short- and medium-range weather forecasts. Richard was also founding co-chair of the WWRP working group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting.
17 May 2016: Paving the Way for the Year of Polar Prediction – Finalized Meeting Summary of YOPP Summit available online
On May 14th, the finalized version of the YOPP Summit meeting summary has been published online in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS). The paper with the above title gives a concise overview of important decisions made at the YOPP Summit. Strategies and the elements for the implementation of the Year of Polar Prediction were discussed and further developed during the summit that took place from 13-15 July 2015 in Geneva.
Goessling, H. F., Jung, T., Klebe, S., Baeseman, J., Bauer, P , Chen, P., Chevallier, M., Dole, R., Gordon, N., Ruti, P., Bradley, A., Bromwich, D. H., Casati, B., Chechin, D., Day, J. J., Massonnet, F., Mills, B., Renfrew, I., Smith, G. and Tatusko, R. (2015): Paving the Way for the Year of Polar Prediction, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00270.1
09 May 2016: PPP is co-sponsoring CLIVAR Workshop 'Arctic Change & Its Influence on Mid-Latitude Climate & Weather'
From February 1-3, 2017, the workshop 'Arctic Change & Its Influence on Mid-Latitude Climate & Weather' will be held at Georgetown University, Washington, DC. PPP is one of the co-sponsors of the workshop that is organized by the US Climate Variability and Predictability Program (CLIVAR). During the workshop possible links between Arctic change and mid-latitude climate and weather that has spurred a rush of new observational and modeling studies will be discussed. More information is available here.
Download the workshop flyer (pdf).
04 May 2016: New Project Officer for the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction
This week Kirstin Werner joined the International Coordination Office for Polar Prediction at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven. As the project officer, she will be supporting the ICO team in PPP and YOPP activities. Kirstin did her PhD at GEOMAR Kiel where she studied the Arctic oceanographic and sea-ice variability over the past ca 12,000 years in high-resolution sediment cores from the eastern Fram Strait. She has worked as a postdoc in the US, at the Institute for Arctic and Alpine Research in Boulder, Colorado and the Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center in Columbus, Ohio. Recently, Kirstin started an 'on the job' master program in the field of science marketing at Technical University Berlin.
27 April 2016: Transfer between information-providers and stakeholders under focus
The YOPP sub-committee on Societal and Economic Research and Applications convened in Christchurch, New Zealand, 18-22 April, under the leads of Brian Mills, ECCC, Canada, and Jackie Dawson, University of Ottawa, Canada, to discuss future improvements in knowledge transfer. A brief report of the outcomes will soon be made available.
19 April 2016: Impressions of the Abisko Polar Prediction School
The first Polar Prediction School ended on 14 April 2016. The feedback from students and lecturers is very clear: PPS2016 was a great success! View some impressions on Storify: https://storify.com/meteodenny/pps2016
07 April 2016: Polar Prediction School at Abisko commenced
First experiments and measurements were carried out in Swedish Abisko by 28 polar early career scientist who gathered for the first school on polar prediction organized by the Bolin Centre, CliC/WCRP, and PPP. From April 5-15 the young scientists will acquire a better understanding for the rapid changes in the polar regions and the necessity of enhanced polar prediction capabilities as a crucial tool for environmental services systems. Instructors from Sweden, France, Norway, UK, US, and Germany have prepared a comprehensive set of lecutres, exercises, and field experiments and are looking forward to share their knowledge.
16 March 2016: QJRMS special issue on polar prediction online
A special section of the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society dedicated to polar prediction has been published online. You will find a collection of articles that provides an assessment of the current state of the art of weather prediction of the polar regions, and provides guidance for future research priorities needed to advance our predictive capabilities. View special
14 March 2016: YOPP features at ASSW2016
The Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) features at several sessions during the Arctic Science Summit Week 2016 at UAF, Fairbanks, Alaska. Next YOPP event is Monday, March 14, 5pm local time, UAF campus, Duckering building, room 252. Conveners: Thomas Jung, Renee Tatusko. View agenda.
09 February 2016: Additional funding for outreach and knowledge transfer component within the International Coordination Office (ICO) secured
Winfried Hoke has recently joined the ICO at the Alfred-Wegener-Institute in Bremerhaven. For the preparation of the Year of Polar Prediction Project, he will further the Outreach and Knowledge Transfer component in close cooperation with PPP’s societal and economic research applications (SERA) committee within a project funded by the Earth System Knowledge Platform (ESKP) of the Helmholtz Association. Winfried Hoke completed the master programme ‘Natural Resources Management and Ecological Engineering’ at University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Austria and at Lincoln University, New Zealand.
03 February 2016: Polar Predictability Workshop 2016 - Call for Abstracts
The Polar Predictability Workshop 2016, co-organized and co-sponsored by the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, the Sea Ice Prediction Network, the Polar Climate Predictability Initiative, and the Polar Prediction Project, will be held 4-6 May in Palisades, New York. Read more, submit an abstract, and/or register on the workshop page.
02 February 2016: YOPP-UK workshop report available
UK scientists met to discuss the UK's contribution to the Year of Polar Prediction. A workshop report is now available on the science workshops page.
26 January 2016: Rick Thoman joins the Societal and Economic Research Applications committee for the Polar Prediction Project
With three decades professional experience in the western science side of high latitude weather and climate and working with Athabascan communities in Alaska as a linguist, Rick intends to bring in a prospective to SERA that will help bridge two quite different worldviews. Each has important assets to offer the other, and with sustained partnerships and working together in a respectful manner, science and indigenous communities can achieve more than either can alone and will help keep the North a place to work, play and call home. Welcome to the Polar Prediction Project (PPP) and the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP), Rick!
20 January 2016: How to improve polar prediction capacity? BAMS paper Early View Online Version available
An overview paper summarizing PPP's approach to advance polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales has just been published online in BAMS, the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society at http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00246.1
Reference: Jung, T., N. Gordon, P. Bauer, D. Bromwich, M. Chevallier, J. Day, J. Dawson, F. Doblas-Reyes, C. Fairall, H. Goessling, M. Holland, J. Inoue, T. Iversen, S. Klebe, P. Lemke, M. Losch, A. Makshtas, B. Mills, P. Nurmi, D. Perovich, P. Reid, I. Renfrew, G. Smith, G. Svensson, M. Tolstykh, and Q. Yang, 2016: Advancing polar prediction capabilities on daily to seasonal time scales. Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00246.1, in press.
15 January 2016: Vacancy at AWI Bremerhaven - Project Officer position in the International Coordination Office (ICO) for Polar Prediction
The International Coordination Office (ICO) for Polar Prediction is hosted by the Alfred Wegener Institute Bremerhaven, Germany. We are seeking to appoint a Project Officer to support the management and implementation of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) and the Polar Prediction Project (PPP). www.awi.de/nc/en/work-study/jobs/job-offer/detail/jobs/12gkli-project-officer-in-the-international-coordination-office-ico-for-polar-prediction.html
07 January 2016: Meeting summary "Polar-lower latitude linkages" published
The "Polar-lower latitude linkages" workshop that was held in Barcelona, Spain, in late 2014 formulated recommendations how to foster the current understanding of the polar-lower latitude linkages and their role for weather and climate prediction. Read more about the atmospheric and oceanic linkages from the prediction and services perspective.
27 November 2015: Read how "Additional Arctic observations improve weather and sea-ice forecasts for the Northern Sea Route"
New Scientific Report by Inoue et al. now online open at http://www.nature.com/articles/srep16868
18 November 2015: 7th IICWG International Workshop on Sea Ice Data Assimilation and Verification - Call for abstracts open
The call for abstracts for the7th IICWG International Workshop on Sea Ice Data Assimilation and Verification is open now.
This joint workshop between the International Ice Charting Working Group (IICWG), the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) Polar Prediction Project (PPP), WWRP Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR) and GODAE Oceanview (GOV) will be held 5-7 April 2016 at ESA(ESRIN), Frascati, Italy.
Open workshop page
10 November 2015: Paving the Way for the Year of Polar Prediction
A paper with the above title has been published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS). The paper gives a concise overview of important decisions made at the YOPP Summit that took place in July in Geneva: link .
05 November 2015: First projects endorsed
The launch of the endorsement process for YOPP was well received in the community and triggered a dozen proposals in the first weeks. So far, three requests for endorsement were reviewed by the PPP steering group and formally endorsed. FAMOS, the MOSAiC project, and additional radiosondes for upper air soundings from Polarstern and automatic weather stations (AWS) on the Antarctic continent through AWI were the first projects endorsed. The review process for all proposals submitted is continuing.
22 October 2015: YOPP endorsement process launched
Since a few days the YOPP endorsement process is up and running. The Steering Group of the Polar Prediction Project (PPP) provides endorsement for projects, programs, and initiatives that plan to contribute to the aims of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP): click here .
07 October 2015: YOPP representation at ICSHMO, Santiago, Chile
At the 11th Session of the International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, 05-09 October 2015, Santiago, Chile, PPP & YOPP were respresented by Neil D. Gordon, Otaki, New Zealand.
Download presentation, http://www.icshmo-2015.com/index.php
02 October 2015: The Arctic Circle in 2050: Charting a new course through the last frontier
A televised panel discussion moderated by David Eades from BBC World on Saturday, 17 October, 15.30-17.00 as part of the Arctic Circle meeting. Join the panel of world-leading experts as they discuss what climate and weather information will be needed to successfully journey through the Arctic Circle in 2050.
16 September 2015: New article on polar-lower latitude linkages now online
An article on Polar-lower latitude linkages and theit role in weather and climate prediction by Francois Massonnet is now available in Physics Today at
04 September 2015: YOPP Summit Final Report available
The YOPP Summit for the preparation of the Year of Polar Prediction was held 13-15 July at WMO Headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland. The meeting report is now available.
28 August 2015: Final report of the 6th Steering Group Meeting available
The final report of the 6th Steering Group Meeting of the Polar Prediction Project, held 15-16 July at WMO Headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland, is now available here.
25 August 2015: Workshop on Arctic-Central U.S. hydrology linkages announced
Registration is now open for the workshop 'Implications of a Changing Arctic on Water Resources and Agriculture in the Central U.S.' to be held at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln from November 10-12, 2015. For more information and to register for the workshop, visit the website http://go.unl.edu/arcticclimateworkshop
10 August 2015: SOOS-SORP Comment on YOPP Implementation Plan Published
The Southern Ocean Observing System (SOOS) and Southern Ocean Regional Panel (SORP) have published a comment on the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) Implementation Plan: https://zenodo.org/record/27261?ln=en#.VciZIYuWZAw
31 July 2015: Call for AOS 2016 White Papers and Short Statements: NOW OPEN!
The Arctic Observing Summit Executive Organizing Committee now welcomes community input and the submission of white papers on the AOS 2016 themes:
- International and national strategies for sustained support of long-term Arctic observing
- Technology and innovation for sustained Arctic observations
- Contributions of the Private Sector and Industry to sustained Arctic observations
- Actor and Stakeholder engagement and needs in sustained Arctic observations
- Arctic Observations in the context of Global Observing initiatives
- Interfacing Traditional Knowledge, Community-based Monitoring and Scientific Methods for sustained Arctic observations
Deadline for submission is Oct. 18, 2015.
09 July 2015: YOPP Summit to commence Monday, 13 July
To inform about and to finalize planning for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) is the main goal of the YOPP Summit that will commence on Monday, 13 July, at 1pm at WMO headquarters in Geneva. Stakeholder and science sessions as well as discussions in plenaries and breakout groups will be used to engage natural and social scientists, stakeholders, representatives of operational weather and climate prediction centres, international organizations, univiersities and funding agencies into the planning to make YOPP a community effort and success.
Live streaming of the plenary sessions will be available at www.wmo.int/yopp
29 June 2015: WWOSC Book now online
The WWOSC book „Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: from Minutes to Month“ (chapter 19 on PPP) is now available online at http://library.wmo.int/pmb_ged/wmo_1156_en.pdf. Hard copies are expected for September.
World Meteorological Organization, 2015: Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: from Minutes to Months, (G Brunet, S Jones, PM Ruti Eds.), (WMO-No. 1156), (ISBN 978-92-63-11156-2), Geneva.
17 June 2015: Improved polar prediction is part of one of seven WMO priorities for the period 2016-2019
World Meteorological Congress agrees priorities for 2016-2019
16 June 2015: Call for abstracts: Session on polar-lower latitude linkages at AGU Fall Meeting, 14-18 December 2015, San Francisco.
Abstract submission now open for a session on "Predictability of Subarctic Weather: Internal Variability, Teleconnections, and Local Forcing". Session details
10 June 2015: Linkages workshop report available as early online release
An early online release of the report of the workshop on "Polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction" has been published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. View report
13 May 2015: BAMS paper discusses the future of three THORPEX legacy projects
The discussion outcomes of a U.S. community meeting about the future of the three THORPEX legacy projects PPP, S2S and HIWeather were published in a BAMS paper which suggests the development of an integrated, multiagency programme including the elaboration of a science plan. Read more...
08 May 2015: APECS-WWRP-Polar Prediction Project Webinar Series - Part 2: Progress and,Challenges in Predicting Arctic Sea Ice on May 11, 18:00 CET
This seminar is the second in the APECS-WWRP-Polar Prediction ProjectWebinar Series. The speakers are Cecilia Bitz (University of Washington, USA) and Julienne Stroeve (National Snow and Ice Data Centre/University of Colorado) Registration URL: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/174329034268135426
The webinar will be recorded and archived afterwards in the APECS Past Webinar list http://www.apecs.is/career-resources/apecs-webinars/past-webinars.html
17 April 2015: Fast access to CryoSat's Arctic ice measurements now available
Fast access to sea-ice observational data is an important step towards better initialization of polar predictions. Anticipated improvements in forecast skill will be beneficial for managing and planning activities affected by Arctic sea ice, such as shipping, tourism, Arctic exploration and search and rescue. Read more...
13 April 2015: Latest Mercator Ocean Quarterly Newsletter features YOPP
The latest Mercator Ocean Quarterly Newsletter issue #51 dedicated to sea ice modelling and data assimilation is now available at: http://www.mercator-ocean.fr/eng/actualites-agenda/newsletter/newsletter-Newsletter-51-Special-Issue-with-ICE-ARC
Chapter 3 presents the challenges and opportunities of YOPP (The Year of Polar Prediction).
30 March 2015: Workshop Résumé available
A résumé of the "Polar-Lower Latitude Linkages Workshop" that took place in Barcelona from 10-12 December 2014 is now available at http://www.polarprediction.net/linkages/resume.html
A set of recommendations is currently being compiled and will be available as workshop report very soon.
23 March 2015: High Latitude Dynamics Workshop starting today
Polar scientists have assembled in Rosendal, Norway, to discuss the dynamics of polar weather and climate. The workshop goal is to summarize our fundamental understanding and description of small-scale processes in the coupled atmosphere-ocean-ice climate system at high latitudes in order to assess and reduce bias and uncertainties in weather prediction and climate models. Read more at http://highlatdynamics.b.uib.no.
17 March 2015: APECS Webinar on Polar Environment Prediction now on vimeo
Thomas Jung introduces the Polar Prediction Project. View the presentation on vimeo at https://vimeo.com/122323499
04 March 2015: IARPC Webinar Series on YOPP on March 17, 3 to 4pm EDT
Webinar series on the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) with Drs Don Perovich, Marika Hollands, and David Bromwich.
03 March 2015: UK-Report "Responding to a Changing Arctic" recommends to support Arctic science
In their recently published report "Responding to a Changing Arctic" the UK's House of Lords Arctic Committee recommends to support Arctic science more strongly.
The requirement for improved environmental prediction is mentioned numerous times in the report and in many contexts and refers to the written evidence submitted by the PPP Steering Group.
The report is UK-focused, and very wide ranging, covering science, societal impacts and change, politics, industry and security issues. One key recommendation is "... that the Government looks to establish a substantial and better co-ordinated long-term programme of Arctic research […]“
Read more at http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/lords-select/arcticcom/news/report-published/
26 February 2015: WWRP/WCRP/Bolin Centre Polar Prediction School
A Polar Prediction School will be held at the Abisko Field Station in Arctic Sweden from 5-15 April 2016 sponsored by WWRP, WCRP, and the Bolin Center. The school is part of the WWRP Polar Prediction Project and the WCRP Polar Climate Predictability Initiative.
This course on Polar Prediction will provide training for 30 PhD and early career post-doctoral polar scientists, focusing on topics such as: polar mesoscale atmospheric processes; sea ice prediction, near term ensemble prediction, and seasonal-to-decadal climate variability and prediction in the polar regions. The program will combine lectures on key areas relevant for polar prediction and a number of field observation and modelling exercises to foster an interactive learning environment.
We are asking for people interested in this school to fill out the Expression of Interest form by 15 May. You can find the form here: http://www.climate-cryosphere.org/wcrp/pcpi/meetings/abisko-pp-2016/expression-of-interest
Limited travel support may be available, particularly for participants from developing countries.
For more information on the school, visit http://www.climate-cryosphere.org/wcrp/pcpi/meetings/abisko-pp-2016. For any questions, contact Jonny Day <email@example.com>
24 February 2015: APECS-WWRP-Polar Prediction Project Webinar Series - Part 1: Polar Weather Prediction
New APECS webinar series in Spring 2015. The first webinar in this series on 2 March at 16 CET with the title "Polar Weather Prediction"will introduce Professor Dr. Thomas Jung, chair of the Polar Prediction Project, read more...
4 February 2015: Polar Predictability Workshop - Call for Abstracts
The "Polar Predictability Workshop", to be held April 8th-10th 2015 at the University of Reading, UK, will discuss polar climate variability & predictability on seasonal to decadal timescales. Abstracts for talks or posters are encouraged for sessions on understanding causes of polar climate variability in observations and models, idealised predictability studies, operational polar forecasts and use of polar predictions by stakeholders. Submission deadline is Friday, 20th February. For more info, see the workshop website.
19 January 2015: WCRP launches Polar Challenge
The World Climate Research Program (WCRP) is launching a Polar Challenge to reward the first team able to send an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV) for a 2000km mission under the sea-ice in the Arctic or Antarctic. The ultimate aim is to demonstrate a sorely-needed monitoring tool for the Polar regions to expand scientific research capabilities and climate services in both the Arctic and Antarctic. Data collected by such vehicles can potentially make a strong contribution to improved polar predictions. Find out more at http://www.wcrp-climate.org/index.php/polarchallenge.
17 December 2014: International workshop on Polar-lower latitude linkages held in Barcelona
80 experts from 20 different countries met in Barcelona, Spain, from 10-12 December 2014 to discuss extensively about Polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction, one of the flagship activities of the Polar Prediction Project. A workshop report and recorded talks will be made available early next year. For details, see the workshop page.
9 December 2014: Workshop on polar-mid latitude linkages begins tomorrow - online participation possible!
The WWRP-WCRP "International workshop on polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction" begins tomorrow, December 10, in Barcelona. Experts from all over the world will meet to discuss this subject which is also an important aspect of the Polar Prediction Project. We encourage anyone interested to attend this important event online via the GoToWebinar platform (kindly provided by the CliC Project Office). You can find all relevant information on the workshop page.
19 November 2014: PPP Progress Report at WWRP Scientific Steering Committee
Thomas Jung presented progress on the development and implementation of PPP to the Scientific Steering Committee of the World Weather Research Programme at their latest meeting in Geneva, Switzerland. The presentation along with a progress report is available at http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documentation_plan_WWRSSC7_2014.html
19 November 2014: Year Of Polar Prediction - Implementation Plan released
we are pleased to let you know that the Implementation Plan for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) has been officially released. It is available at http://www.polarprediction.net/documents.html.
YOPP is a key activity of the WMO/WWRP Polar Prediction Project (PPP) and aims to enable a significant improvement in environmental prediction capabilities for the polar regions and beyond, by coordinating a period of intensive observing, modelling, prediction, verification, user-engagement and education activities.
We would like to point out that YOPP is a community effort and that everyone interested is invited to make contributions.
18 November 2014: The PPP steering group welcomes four new members
We are happy to announce that four outstanding scientists have joined the PPP steering group: Jun Inoue (top left) from the National Institute of Polar Research, Japan; Alexander Makshtas (top right) from the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, Russia; Matthieu Chevallier (bottom left) from the National Centre for Meteorological Research, France; and Qinghua Yang (bottom right) from the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, China. These new members, reflecting the international composition of the steering group, are an important addition to move PPP and the Year of Polar Prediction forward. Welcome aboard!
29 October 2014: Could forecasting problems put Arctic shipping plans on ice?
PPP steering group member Jonny Day and colleagues at the University of Reading demonstrate the importance of proper sea-ice thickness initialisation for skillful sea-ice predictions. This research highlights the need for better sea-ice thickness observations and thus corroborates the importance of additional observations to be taken within the PPP Year Of Polar Prediction. Read the press release and the corresponding publication!
08 October 2014: New mailing list for prediction and predictability in polar regions
Arctic and Antarctic weather and climate prediction and predictability issues are high up on the polar (research) communities' agenda. A vast amount of information is available in different media. To help connect sending and receiving parties, a dedicated electronic mailing list tailored to people interested in Arctic and Antarctic prediction and predictability is being set up by CliC and the ICO for Polar Prediction. We will strive to keep you informed about upcoming events, recent findings, new papers and developments.
To be added to the list, please send an email to firstname.lastname@example.org with the subject line: subscribe prediction mailing list.
Members of the list will be able to post directly. If you are not a member and you would like to send something, please send your message to Stefanie Klebe <email@example.com>.
We encourage you to forward this announcement to your colleagues.
06 October 2014: PPP chairman Thomas Jung attended the 4th meeting of WMO's Polar Satellite Task Group
The meeting was held on 29 September 2014 at NASA Goddard Space Flight Centre in Maryland, US. PPP has been invited by the space agencies to develop a document outlining the satellite requirements necessary to advance polar prediction capabilities in the framework of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP)
01 Oct 2014: Helge Goessling appointed director of International Coordination Office (ICO) for Polar Prediction
As of today climate scientist Helge Goessling serves as director of the ICO for Polar Prediction. Together with the chairman of the Polar Prediction Project Thomas Jung and the Steering Group he will foster collaboration between international projects, initiatives, and programmes related to polar prediction research. One of his major tasks will be the promotion of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) planned for mid-2017 to mid-2019.
30 Sep 2014: House of Lords Committee on the Arctic publishes call for evidence
Today PPP Steering Group members submitted written evidence to the UK Parliament on the state of weather and environmental prediction in the Arctic. The House of Lords Select Committee for the Arctic is in the process of gathering written evidence and will report in February 2015.
The call for evidence is available at http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/lords-select/arcticcom/news/arctic-call-for-evidence/
Read the PPP submission
17 Sep 2014: Workshop on the Dynamics of Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean Interactions in the High-Latitudes in March 2015
The workshop aims to summarise our fundamental understanding and description of small-scale processes in the coupled atmosphere-ocean-ice climate system at high latitudes in order to assess and reduce bias and uncertainties in weather prediction and climate models. 23-27 March, 2015.
Application deadline 8 October 2014
26 Aug 2014: SG5 in conjunction with WWOSC
The fifth meeting of the PPP Steering Group was held directly after the World Weather Open Science Conference in Montréal, Canada. The report will soon be available.
19 June 2014: Arctic influence on subseasonal mid-latitude prediction
A new paper, published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, shows that improved Arctic prediction capabilities do have a beneficial influence on weather forecasts in mid-latitudes, especially over Asia, Eastern Europe and North America.
13 May 2014: Thomas Jung visits NMEFC in Beijing, China
Thomas Jung,chair of the WWRP Polar Prediction Project (PPP), visited the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Centre (NMEFC) on 13 May 2014 to discuss possible future contributions of NMEFC to PPP.
Photo: Prof. Hui Wang, director general of NMEFC, and Prof. Thomas Jung, chair of the WWRP Polar Prediction Project
05 May 2014: David Carlson appointed WCRP Joint Planning Staff Director
...and will take duty in June 2014. Read more: http://www.wcrp-climate.org/
02 April 2014: ASSW and AOS with participation of PPP
The Arctic Science Summit Week (ASSW) and the Arctic Observing Summit (AOS) in Helsinki are approaching.
The Polar Prediction Project (PPP) will be represented with their second planning meeting (YPM-2) for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) April 8 2014. Thomas Jung, chair of PPP, will serve as one of the panelists in the AOS "Stakeholder Integration in Arctic Observation" session April 9. A townhall meeting and panel in the evening of April 9 will discuss three main questions related to polar prediction: What is holding us back? What are the observational needs? How can stakeholders best be involved and what services do they need?
09 January 2014: "Polar regions under climate change" public lecture
View and listen to Prof. Peter Lemke, former PPP Steering Group Member, in a public seminar on "The polar regions under climate change" in a lecture series of IIASA and the Austrian Academy of Sciences: Listen to his lecture on YouTube
31 December 2013: PPP session at WWOSC 2014
The World Weather Open Science Conference in Montreal, 16-21 August 2014 offers a session on Polar Prediction convened by members of the PPP steering group. Drs. Marika Holland (NCAR) and David Bromwich (Byrd Polar Research Center) have confirmed their invited talks.
The call for abstracts and registration is open now: http://wwosc2014.org/welcome_e.shtml
20 December 2013: International workshop on verification methods: Abstract submission by 15th January 2014
The call for abstract for the 6th International Verification Methods Workshop is open until 15th January 2014.
09 December 2013: PPP mentioned favourably during WMO's November CAS session in Antalya
The Sixteenth Session of the Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS-16) was held in late November in Antalya, Turkey.
During the session the Commission noted the progress made in the implementation of the Polar Prediction Project (PPP) so far and encouraged all WMO members to engage in the planning process of the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP). Read more about CAS-16 and, more general, on the WMO-CAS pages.
03 December 2013: SAVE THE DATE of the next PPP SG-meeting
The fifth Steering Group Meeting SG-5 is scheduled for 22-23 August 2014, Montreal, Canada. View PPP meetings schedule
15 October 2013: Donald K. Perovich appointed new steering group member
As of 15th October 2013 Donald K. Perovich is member of the PPP steering group. The appointment of Don Perovich will strengthen the observational aspects within PPP.
01-03 October 2013: 4th Steering Group Meeting at NCAR and NOAA, Boulder, CO
The Steering Group met for the fourth time. One of the points the Steering Group discussed was the Implementation Plan for YOPP, the Year of Polar Prediction, which will be available for download after revision. Read more about SG-4
26 September 2013: Memorandum of Understanding between WMO and AWI signed
The Memorandum of Understanding between World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) has been signed which assigns AWI the hosting of the International Coordation Office for the Polar Prediction Project.
16 August 2013: New members in PPP Steering Group
WMO has appointed new members to the Polar Prediction Project Steering Group: Francisco Javier Doblas-Reyes of the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences will serve as full member to the Steering Group. So will Phillip Reid of the Bureau of Meteorology, Australia. Jonathan Day of the University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, has been appointed a liaison member to the project.
13 August 2013: WWRP-THORPEX workhop on polar prediction: Final report available
The WWRP-THORPEX workshop on polar prediction was held 24-27 June at ECMWF, Reading. About 40 experts discussed questions on predictability and forecast error diagnosis, teleconnections, data assimilation, representation of polar key processes in (coupled) modelling, and polar observing systems. Download final report.
28 June 2013: YOPP planning meeting #1
The first planning meeting for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) was held. Read more
02 June 2013: ECMWF-WWRP/THORPEX workshop on polar prediction approaching
24-27 June 2013 ECMWF host a WWRP-THOPEX workshop for polar prediction experts. The workshop will be dedicated to advancing observational and predicitive weather, climate and water informational systems. Research areas addressed are: Predictability and forecast error diagnosis, teleconnections, data assimilation, representation of polar key processes in (coupled) modelling, polar observing systems. Read poster for details...
12 April 2013: ITV News: Met Office investigates Arctic link to record low temperatures in UK
"After some of the coldest temperatures in almost 100 years, the Met Office says it is "urgent" that we address the causes of our changing weather and the possibility that recent record melts in the Arctic are to blame." Read more....
19 March 2013: Science Plan finalized
The Science Plan has been finalized. This document provides a description of the scientific background of the Polar Prediction Project.
18 March 2013: YOPP planning workshop in preparation
The first planning workshop for the Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP) is being prepared. It shall be held June 27-28, 2013 at ECMWF, Reading, UK.
Details to be available soon.