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2019

• Smith, G.C., Allard, R., Babin, M., Bertino, L., Chevallier, M., Corlett, G., Crout, J., Davidson, F., Delille, B., Gille, S.T., Hebert, D., Hyder, P., Intrieri, J., Lagunas, J., Larnicol, G., Kaminski, T., Kater, B., Kauker, F., Marec, C., Mazloff, M., Metzger, E.J., Mordy, C., O'Carroll, A., Olsen, S.M., Phelps, M., Posey, P., Prandi, P., Rehm, E., Reid, P., Rigor, I., Sandven, S., Shupe, M., Swart, S., Smedstad, O.M., Solomon, A., Storto, A., Thibaut, P., Toole, J., Wood, K., Xie, J., Yang, Q., and the WWRP PPP Steering Group, 2019: Polar Ocean Observations: A Critical Gap in the Observing System and Its Effect on Environmental Predictions From Hours to a Season. Frontiers in Marine Sciences: Ocean Observation. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00429.
• Naakka, T., Nygård, T., Tjernström, M., Vihma, T., Pirazzini, R., Brooks, I.M, 2019: The Impact of Radiosounding Observations on Numerical Weather Analyses in the Arctic. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1029/2019GL083332.
• Køltzow, M., Casati, B., Bazile, E., Haiden, T., Valkonen, T., 2019: A NWP model inter-comparison of surface weather parameters in the European Arctic during the Year of Polar Prediction Special Observing Period Northern Hemisphere 1. Weather and Forecasting, Volume 34 No. 3, June 2019. doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0003.1.
• Sato, K., Inoue, J., 2019: Relationship between transpolar flights over the Arctic and the upper atmospheric circulation. Okhotsk Sea and Polar Oceans Research Association.
• Lawrence, H., Farnan, J., Sandu, I., Bormann, N., Bauer, P., Magnusson, L., 2019: An Assessment of the use of observations in the Arctic at ESMWF. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 845.

2018

• Sato, K., Inoue, J., Alexander, S.P., McFarquhar, G., Yamazaki, A., 2018: Improved Reanalysis and Prediction of Atmospheric Fields Over the Southern Ocean Using Campaign-Based Radiosonde Observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 20, 11,406-11,413. doi: 10.1029/2018GL079037.
• Kaminski, T., Kauker, F., Toudal Pedersen, L., Voßbeck, M., Haak, H., Niederdrenk, L., Hendricks, S., Ricker, R., Karcher, M., Eicken, H., Gråbak, O., 2018: Arctic Mission Benefit Analysis: impact of sea ice thickness, and snow depth products on sea ice forecast performance. The Cryosphere, 12, 2569-2594. doi: 10.5194/tc-12-2569-2018.
• Sergeev, D.E., Renfrew, I.A., Spengler, T., 2018: Modification of Polar Low Development by Orography and Sea Ice. Monthly Weather Review, 146, 3325- 3341. doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-18-0086.1. 
• Chevallier, M., Massonnet, F., Goessling, H. F., Guémas, V., Jung, T., 2018: Chapter 10 - The Role of Sea Ice in Sub-seasonal Predictability, doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-811714-9.00010-3, in: Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction - The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting, Andrew W. Robertson and Frédéric Vitart (eds.), pp. 201-221, Elsevier, ISBN: 978-0-12-811714-9.
• Zampieri, L., Goessling, H. F., Jung, T., 2018: Bright Prospects for Arctic Sea Ice Prediction on Subseasonal Time Scales. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1029/2018GL079394.
• Nakanowatari, T., Inoue, J., Sato, K., Bertino,  L.,  Xie, J., Matsueda, M., Yamagami, A., Sugimura, T., Yabuki, H., Otsuka, N., 2018: Medium-range predictability of early summer sea ice thickness distribution in the East Siberian Sea based on the TOPAZ4 ice–ocean data assimilation system. The Cryosphere, 12, 2005-2020, 2018. doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2005-2018.
• Waseda, T., Webb, A., Sato, K., Inoue, J., Kohout, A., Penrose, B., Penrose, S., 2018: Correlated increase of high ocean waves and winds in the ice-free waters of the Arctic Ocean. nature scientific Reports, 8, 4489. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-22500-9.
• Uotila, P., Goosse, H., Haines, K., Chevallier, M., Barthélemy, A., Bricaud, C., Carton, J., Fuçkar, N., Garric, G., Iovino, D., Kauker, F., Kerhonen, M., Lien, V.S., Marnela, M., Massonnet, F., Mignac, D., Peterson, K.A., Sadikni, R., Shi, L., Tietsche, S., Toyoda, T., Xie, J., Zhang ,Zh., 2018: An assessment of ten ocean reanalyses in the polar regions. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4242-z.
• Ogle, S.E., Tamsitt, V., Josey, S. A., Gille, S.T., Cerovecki,   I., Talley, L.D., Weller,  R.A., in press: Extreme Southern Ocean heat loss and its mixed layer impacts revealed by the furthest south multi-year surface flux mooring. Geophys. Res. Lett., in press. doi:10.1029/2017GL076909.
• Mohammadi-Aragh, M., Goessling, H. , Losch, M. , Hutter, N. , Jung, T., 2018: Predictability of Arctic sea ice on weather time scales, nature scientific reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-24660-0
• Rabatel, M., Rampal, P., Bertino, L., Jones, C.K.R.T., 2018: Impact of rheology on probabilistic forecasts of sea ice trajectories: application for search and rescue operations in the Arctic. The Cryosphere, 12, 935–953, 2018. doi:10.5194/tc-12-935-2018.
• Soldatenko, S., Tingwell, C., Steinle, P., Kelly-Gerreyn, B.A., 2018: Assessing the Impact of Surface and Upper-Air Observations on the Forecast Skill of the ACCESS Numerical Weather Prediction Model over Australia. Atmosphere, 9, 23. doi:10.3390/atmos9010023.

2017

• Sergeev, D. E., Renfrew, I.A., Spengler, T., Dorling, S.R., 2017: Structure of a shear-line polar low. Quarterly J. Royal Meteorological Society, 143, 12-26. doi:10.1002/qj.2911.
• Müller, M., Batrak, Y., Kristiansen, J., Køltzow, M., Noer, G., Korosov, A., 2017: Characteristics of a convective-scale weather forecasting system for the European Arctic. Monthly Weather Review, 145 (12), 4771-4787. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0194.1.

2016

• Young, G., Jones, H.M., Choularton, T.W., Crosier, J., Bower, K.N., Gallagher, M.W., Davies, R.S., Renfrew, I.A., Elvidge, A.D., Darbyshire, E., Marenco, F., Brown, P.R.A., Connolly, P.J., Lloyd, G., Williams, P.I., Allan, J.D., Taylor, J.W., Liu, D., Flynn, M.J., 2016: Observed microphysical changes in Arctic mixed-phase clouds when transitioning from sea ice to open ocean. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16, 13945-13967. doi:10.5194/acp-16-13945-2016.
• Moore, G.W.K., Bromwich, D.H., Wilson, A.B., Renfrew, I., Bai, L., 2016: Arctic System Reanalysis improvements in topographically-forced winds near Greenland. Quarterly J. Royal Meteorological Society, 142, 2033-2045. doi:10.1002/qj.2798.
• Jones, R.W., Renfrew, I.A., Orr, A., Webber, B.G.M., Holland, D.M., Lazzara, M.A., 2016: Evaluation of four global reanalysis products using in situ observations in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere, 121, 6240-6257. doi:10.1002/2015JD024680. 
• Chevallier, M., Smith, G. C., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J. F., Forget, G., Fujii, Y., and coauthors, 2016: Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean–sea ice reanalyses from the ORA-IP project. Climate Dynamics, 1-30.
• Goessling, H. F. , Tietsche, S. , Day, J. J. , Hawkins, E. and Jung, T., 2016: Predictability of the
  Arctic sea ice edge. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1002/2015GL067232.

• Special Issue in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meterological Society
  • Bauer, P., Jung, T, 2016: Editorial for the Quarterly Journal's special issue on Polar Prediction. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 537–538, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2639
  • Hunke, E.C., 2016: Weighing the importance of surface forcing on sea ice: a September 2007 modelling study. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 539-545, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2353
  • Guemas, V., Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J.J., Déqué, M., Doblas‐Reyes, F.J., Fučkar, N.S., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley. S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D., Tietsche, S., 2016: A review on Arctic sea‐ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time‐scales. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 546-561, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2401
  • Buehner, M., Caya, A., Carrieres, T., Pogson, L., 2016: Assimilation of SSMIS and ASCAT data and the replacement of highly uncertain estimates in the Environment Canada Regional Ice Prediction System. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 562–573, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2408
  • Jung, T., Matsueda, M., 2016: Verification of global numerical weather forecasting systems in polar regions using TIGGE data. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 574–582, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2437
  • Bauer, P., Magnusson, L., Thépaut, J.-N., Hamill, T.M., 2016: Aspects of ECMWF model performance in polar areas. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 583–596, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2449
  • Boullot, N., Rabier, F., Langland, R., Gelaro, R., Cardinali, C., Guidard, V., Bauer, P., Doerenbecher, A., 2016: Observation impact over the southern polar area during the Concordiasi field campaign. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 597–610, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2470
  • Smith, D.M., Scaife, A.A., Eade, R., Knight, J.R., 2016: Seasonal to decadal prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: emerging capability and future prospects. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 611–617, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2479
  • Elvidge, A.D., Renfrew, I.A., King, J.C., Orr, A., Lachlan‐Cope, T.A., 2016: Foehn warming distributions in nonlinear and linear flow regimes: a focus on the Antarctic Peninsula. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 618–631, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2489
  • Lemieux, J.-F., Beaudoin, C., Dupont, F., Roy, F., Smith, G.C., Shlyaeva, A., Buehner, M., Caya, A., Chen, J., Carrieres, T., Pogson, L., DeRepentigny, P., Plante, A., Pestieau, P., Pellerin, P., Ritchie, H., Garric, G., Ferry, N., 2016: The Regional Ice Prediction System (RIPS): verification of forecast sea ice concentration. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 632–643, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2526
  • Bromwich, D.H., Wilson, A.B., Bai, L.-Sh., Moore, G.W.K., Bauer. P., 2016: A comparison of the regional Arctic System Reanalysis and the global ERA‐Interim Reanalysis for the Arctic. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 644–658, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2527
  • Smith, G.C., Roy, F., Reszka, M., Surcel Colan, D., He., Zh., Deacu, D., Belanger, J.-M., Skachko, S., Liu, Y., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J.-F., Beaudoin, C., Tranchant, B., Drévillon, M., Garric, G., Testut, C.-E., Lellouche, J.-M., Pellerin, P., Ritchie, H., Lu, Y., Davidson, F., Buehner, M., Caya, A., Lajoie, M., 2016: Sea ice forecast verification in the Canadian Global Ice Ocean Prediction System. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 659–671, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2555
  • Hawkins, E., Tietsche, S., Day, J.D., Melia, N., Haines, K., Keeley, S., 2016: Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal‐to‐interannual Arctic sea‐ice prediction systems. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 142: 672–683, January 2016 B DOI:10.1002/qj.2643
      

2015

• Inoue, J., A. Yamazaki, J. Ono, K. Dethloff, M. Maturilli, R. Neuber, P. Edwards, and H. Yamaguchi, 2015: Additional Arctic observations improve weather and sea-ice forecasts for the Northern Sea Route. Sci. Rep., 5, 16868. doi:10.1038/srep16868.
• Smith, G. C., Roy, F., Reszka, M., Surcel Colan, D., He, Z., Deacu, D., Belanger, J.-M., Skachko, S., Liu, Y., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J.-F., Beaudoin, C., Tranchant, B., Drévillon, M., Garric, G., Testut, C.-E., Lellouche, J.-M., Pellerin, P., Ritchie, H., Lu, Y., Davidson, F., Buehner, M., Caya, A. and Lajoie, M., 2015: Sea ice forecast verification in the Canadian Global Ice Ocean Predic-
  tion System. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc.. doi: 10.1002/qj.2555.

2014

• Around the polar-lower latitudes linkages workshop 2014 held in Barcelona, a comprehensive list of relevant literature on the subject has been collected and compiled by François Massonnet: Link

2013

• Bromwich, D. H., F. O. Otieno, K. M. Hines, K. W. Manning, and E. Shilo, 2013: Comprehensive evaluation of polar weather research and forecasting performance in the Antarctic. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 274-292. doi: 10.1029/2012JD018139.
• Condron, A. and Renfrew, I. A., 2013: The impact of polar mesoscale storms on northeast Atlan-
  tic Ocean circulation. Nature Geosci, 6, 34-37. doi:10.1038/ngeo1661.
• Ebert, E., Wilson, L., Weigel, A., Mittermaier, M., Nurmi, P., Gill, P., Göber, M., Joslyn, S., Brown, B., Fowler, T. and Watkins, A., 2013: Progress and challenges in forecast verification. Met. Apps, 20: 130–139. doi: 10.1002/met.1392.
• Sigmond, M. et al., 2013: Seasonal forecast skill of Arctic sea ice area in a dynamical forecast system. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(3), pp.529–534.
• Smith, Laurence C. and Stephenson, Scott R., 2013: New Trans-Arctic shipping routes navigable by midcentury. PNAS www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1.

2012

• M. Mittermaier, A. Ghelli, E. Ebert, L. Wilson and P. Nurmi, 2012: Recommended Methods for E-
  valuating Cloud and Related Parameters. WMO WWRP 2012-1, 32 pp.
• Powers, J., K. W. Manning, D. H. Bromwich, J. J. Cassano, and A. M. Cayette, 2012: A decade of Antarctic science support through AMPS. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 1699-1712. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00186.1.
• Wilson, A. B., D. H. Bromwich, K. M. Hines, 2012: Evaluation of Polar WRF forecasts on the Arctic System Reanalysis domain. 2. Atmospheric hydrologic cycle. J. Geophys. Res., 17, D04107. doi: 10.1029/2011JD016765.

2011

• Aspelien, T., Iversen, T., Bremnes, J. B., and Frogner, I.-L.,2011: Short-range probabilistic fore-
  casts from the Norwegian limited-area EPS: long-term validation and a polar low study. Tellus A, 63, 564–584.
• Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. et al., 2011: Influence of initial conditions and climate forcing on
  predicting Arctic sea ice. Geophys. Res. Lett, 38(L18503), p.L18503.
• Føre, I., J. E. Kristjánsson, Ø. Saetra, Ø. Breivik, B. Røsting, and M. Shapiro, 2011: The full life
  cycle of a polar low over the Norwegian Sea observed by three research aircraft flights. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 1659–1673. doi:10.1002/qj.825.
• Irvine, E. A.,  S. L. Gray, J. Methven, I.A. Renfrew, 2011: Forecast impact of targeted observations: Sensitivity to observation error and proximity to steep orography. Monthly Weather Review, 139, 69-78.
• Kolstad, E. W., 2011: A global climatology of favourable conditions for polar lows. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137: 1749–1761. doi:10.1002/qj.888.
• Kristiansen, J., Sørland, S. L., Iversen, T., Bjørge, D. and Køltzow, M. Ø., 2011: High-resolution ensemble prediction of a polar low development. Tellus A, 63: 585–604.
• Kristjansson, J. E., Barstad, I., Aspelien, T., Føre, I., Godøy, Ø. A., Hov, Ø., Irvine, E., Iversen,T.,  Kolstad, E. W., Nordeng, T. E., McInnes, H., Randriamampianina, R., Reuder, J., Sætra, Ø.,  Shapiro, M. A., Spengler, T., Ólafsson, H., 2011: The Norwegian IPY-THORPEX. Po-
  lar Lows and Arctic  Fronts during the 2008 Andøya Campaign. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 92(11), 1443- 1466. doi: 10.1175/2011BAMS2901.1.
• Noer G, Saetra Ø, Lien T, Gusdal Y., 2011: A climatological study of polar lows in the Nordic
  Seas. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 1762–1772. doi:10.1002/qj.846.
• Randriamampianina, R., Iversen, T., Storto, A., 2011. Exploring the assimilation of IASI radian-
  ces in forecasting polar lows. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137: 1700–1715. doi:10.1002/qj.838.

2010

• Linders, T. and Sætra, Ø., 2010: Can Cape Maintain Polar Lows?. J. Atmos. Sci. 67(8), 2559–2571. doi: 10.1175/2010JAS3131.1.

2009

• Bromwich, D. H., K. M. Hines, and L.-S. Bai, 2009: Development and testing of Polar WRF:
  2. Arctic Ocean. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D08122. doi: 10.1029/2008JD010300.
• Girard, L., J. Weiss, J.M. Molines, B. Barnier, and S. Bouillon, 2009: Evaluation of highresolution sea ice models on the basis of statistical and scaling properties of Arctic sea ice drift and defor-
  mation. J. Geophys. Res., 114, C08015. doi:10.1029/2008JC005182.
• Renfrew, I. A., G. N. Petersen, D. A. J. Sproson, G. W. K. Moore, H. Adiwidjaja, S. Zhang, and  R. North, 2009: A comparison of aircraft-based surface-layer observations over Denmark Strait
  and the Irminger Sea with meteorological analyses and QuikSCAT winds. Quarterly J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., 135, 2046-2066.
• Joint Working Group on Verification (B. Brown, H. Brooks, B. Casati, E. Ebert, A. Ghelli, M. Göber, M. Mittermeier, P. Nurmi, J. Stein, D. Stephenson, C. Wilson, L. Wilson), 2009: Recom-
  mendations for the Verification and Intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from Operational NWP Models. WMO TD No. 1485, WMO WWRP 2009-1, 37 pp.

2008

• Renfrew, I. A., G. W. K. Moore, J. E. Kristjánsson, H. Ólafsson, S. L. Gray, G. N. Petersen, K. Bovis, P. R. A. Brown, I. Føre, T. Haine, C. Hay, E. A. Irvine, A. Lawrence, T. Ohigashi, S. Outten, R. S. Pickart, M. Shapiro, D. Sproson, R. Swinbank, A. Woolley, S. Zhang, 2008: The
  Greenland Flow Distortion experiment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89, 1307-1324.

2007

• Jung, T. and Leutbecher, M., 2007: Performance of the ECMWF forecasting system in the Arc-
  tic during winter. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 133: 1327–1340. doi: 10.1002/qj.99.

2004

• Pellerin, P., H. Ritchie, F.J. Saucier, F. Roy, S. Desjardins, M. Valin, and V. Lee, 2004: Impact of a two-way coupling between an atmospheric and an ocean-ice model over the Gulf of St. Law-
  rence. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1379-1398.
• Van Woert, M.L., C.Z. Zou, W.N. Meier, and P.D. Hovey, 2004: Forecast verification of the Polar
  Ice Prediction System (PIPS) sea ice concentration fields. J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 21(6), 944-957.